Uncertainty and optimism: looking at the global market and economy, a strong case could be made for both. In a recent video market commentary, Atlas PWM Chief Investment Officer John Ogle shared his thoughts and insights on the investing and economic landscape as 2023 begins in earnest.
On December 8, 2022, the Atlas hosted webinar reviewed some key factors of market history, investor behavior, and how they relate to the current market conditions.
We at Atlas came into the year with a defensive tilt to our portfolios, but as the year has progressed, we’ve been compelled to take further actions to reduce the level of credit exposure in our bond holdings as well as to reduce our international exposure on the equity side.
At the end of the first quarter this year, concerns over profitability in general, and more specifically profit margins, were at the forefront of many investors’ minds. With energy prices rising, inflation in general, and the war in Ukraine, forecasting the profitability of companies in the quarter was especially challenging.
It is said in the world of economics that one number does not a trend make. We think that may well be the case here. As mentioned earlier, when we entered 2022 the economy was moving ahead nicely. The 6.9% growth rate for the last quarter of 2021 was more than double the 3.4% average rate from 1948 – 2022 . So, it is important to understand that this most recent report is no more a prophecy for the coming months than the Q4 2021 report was for this year.
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